After the first 7 month of Olympic qualification we can show you the
following situations:
Men’s qualification
There are still 2 wild cards and we can suppose 14 cards in the olympic
ranking.
According to our study we are sure the necessary ranking points for
taking olympic pass will be not more of 127.
It will probably be 123 or less.
So it’s difficult that less than 30 points in one competition or less
than 70 in two competitions could be useful.
Looking at the actual olympic ranking with more than 30 points (one
comp.) or 70 (for two comp.) we can find the following situation:
5 cards of 14 are already sure:
-Walther 173 points and Gebhard 153pt for Germany, Capalini (Cze)147pt,
Benedetti (Ita)130pt and Meliakh (Blr)123pt.
Other 4 are almost sure with athletes who have more than 75 points with
two competitions:
-Berrou (Fra)100pt, Lapo 82pt (or Prokopenko 69pt) for Belorus,
Cherkovskis (Lat) and Garcia (Mex) with 79pt
For the remaining 6 cards the following athletes are fighting:
-Bowsher (Usa) 76pt (2 comp);
-one of these Poland athletes: Majewski 73pt(2 comp), Stefanek 75pt(2
comp), Kacer 39pt(1 comp) e Galecky 36pt(1 comp);
-Soto 42pt or Granados 33pt, from Mexico;
-Santos (Bra) and Hantov (Bul) with 40pt;
-Papadopolo (Gua) 39pt;
-one of these Italian: Valentini 38pt, Simonetti 37pt, Pecci 34pt and
Giancamilli 31pt.;
-Sika (Lat) and Romao (Bra) with 38pt;
-Guitian (Pan) 37pt;
-Brandt (Swe) and Tisi (Chi) with 36pt.;
-one of these Ukrainian: Tymoshenko 35pt, Borkin 33pt and Kukshin 30pt.
-Maynard (Can) 35pt;
-Abreu (Dom) 34pt;
-Daniel (Aut) with 32pt.
-Floros (Gre) and Woodbridge (Gbr) with 31pt.
-El Geziry (Egy) with 31pt or one other Egyptian athlete between Tadros
and Hefny, without useful points.
-Astier (Fra) with 30pt or another French athlete between Pla o Viala,
without useful points.
-there are also somebody else, without useful points, like Lopez (Spa)
or an unknown outsider.
Women’s qualification
In the olympic ranking we can suppose 13 cards.
We think that in the women qualification 110 points will be enough for
taking the pass for Bejing.
Let's see the 13 hypothetical cards:
-9 are already sure:
Samusevich (Blr) with 152pt, Rublevska (Lat) with 149, Arkhipenka 137pt
or Mazurkevich 114pt for Belarus, Mouratova (Rus) 123pt, Mathe (Hun)
119pt and Taormina (Usa) 115pt.
With only two good results: one between Maloszyc 87pt, Dziadura 79pt and
Boenisz 77pt for Poland, Grolichova (Cze) 90pt and Grant (Can) with
78pt.
-other 2 cards are probably for:
Trautmann (Ger) 67pt and Tereshuk (Ukr) 65pt with two results.
Sanchez (Mex) 44pt, Rodriguez (Cub), Lellys (Bra) 40pt, Rimsaite (Ltu)
34pt
-For the last two cards are now in pole position the following athletes:
Sanchez (Mex) 44pt, Rodriguez (Cub) 42pt, Lellys (Bra) 40pt, Rimsaite
(Ltu) 34pt, Fakhry (Egy) 30pt.
Not many other athletes can fight for these cards, maybe Partics (Gre),
Nunes (Por), Triguel (Fra) or some outsider.
You can read the olympic ranking, olympic qualificated list and olimpic
criteria, in the website area “Bejing 2008”.
Red
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